Saturday, September 01, 2018

New boss: One month until Francois Legault becomes Quebec premier

   In one month perennial political tryhard Francois Legault will become the new premier with a majority government, as he apparently has a 91 percent likelihood of doing.
Update: Sept 10- New polls indicate that CAQ now has a 51% chance at a majority, with an 81% chance of winning the election.
   This might be news to some English-speaking Quebecers who pay as much attention to provincial politics as they do AA minor league baseball scores.
   In contrast, francophone Quebecers could name of the sub-Minister of Transport in the Marois government or the MNA who took a ride on a luxury yacht with a businessman 20 years ago.
   That's become English-speakers have one agenda: keep Colonel Sanders out of the henhouse, ie: keep separatists as far from power as possible.
   Liberals, under Jean Charest and Philippe Couillard, have done just that for all but 18 months since 2003.
   But if anglos are chickens, Legault of the Giant Skull - has spent a lifetime working for Colonel Sanders.
   Legault, 61, was born and raised in Ste Annes on the West Island, earned an MBA and accounting degrees from HEC, and then scored a small fortune as co-founder of the Air Transat charter company, which has helped money flow out of the province as Quebec racks up a massive tourist deficits.
   He was voted in as a PQ MNA in 1998 and served in top positions with that separatist party until 2009.
   An artist friend of Coolopolis dated Legault in his early days and she described him as being extremely intense and ambitious. I wasn't able to pry out anything more personal than that, sorry folks.
   Legault's CAQ party has vowed not to hold a referendum but that's like saying that it won't send a man to the moon, as 82 percent of Quebecers now apparently think Quebec should stay in Canada.
   More significantly, Legault hasn't renounced the longstanding hardcore language orthodoxy that has long kept the brakes on prosperity and freedom in Quebec.
   Some of Legault's old allies have attacked him for abandoning the holy quest for separation, so the obligatory attack biography has been penned by journalist Gilles Toupin, who cites an unnamed colleague describing how Legault panicked in 2009 after receiving a cease-and-desist letter from Montreal businessmen unhappy that he suggested they might have been involved in government fraud.
   Legault looked like a deer frozen in the headlights, according to the anecdote, and was inconsolable with the fear of having his personal fortune touched by lawsuit.
   The same book suggests that Legault's mentor, former Premier Lucien Bouchard, who gradually lost his interest in separatism, spurred Legault on to start the CAQ. The author also speculates that Legault might have earned a secret salary from the wealthy business elites in exchange for forsaking separatism.
   As for Legault and his policies, the CAQ is meant to be right wing party.
   But the provincial budget is largely gobbled up by education and health and little room is left to maneuver in those realms, particularly since the electorate seemingly wants more money pumped into hospitals.
   A conservative revamping of the Quebec economy seems like as longshot, as many in the Quebec mainstream bitterly denounce even the concept of lower taxes. Meanwhile sacred cow social programs as subsidized daycare or universities appear to be untouchable.
   Couillard and Health Minister Barrette, both physicians, are well aware that health is a bottomless cash pit and did their best to keep spending under wraps.
   Legault, who has experience as provincial health, education and finance minister, seems to promise a lot of unspecified rejigging.
   He has promised to lower school taxes and abolish school boards as well as reduce immigration, which might play in precious rural counties but seems strangely counterproductive in the midst of Quebec's growing labour shortage.
   We can only hope that future premier Legault keeps the ship steady, as Quebec has been uncharacteristically stable in comparison to other places in recent years.
   As for his giant skull, it has been established that large heads are often correlated with higher IQs so maybe Legault is smarter than many imagine him to be.

4 comments:

  1. "This might be news to some English-speaking Quebecers who pay as much attention to provincial politics as they do AA minor league baseball scores"

    What is that?? I moved here 15 years ago but know many anglos who were born and raised here and not one of them is interested in discussing municipal or provincial politics. In fact, few of them really know what's going on. Is it burn-out from the referendums? Pessimism that anglos have enough political power to have any influence whatsoever? I had dinner with a bunch of these friends a week or two ago, we are on the eve of a provincial election but the big point of discussion was the closing of the stupid road over the mountain.

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  2. In light of the current hullabaloo over Francois Legault's pet Bill 21 outlawing the wearing of religious garb and/or symbols by government employees, you can rest assured that he will be under the gun for the rest of his term, which anyway I predict will be a one-off.

    Even when Legault first came on the scene, I always got the impression he was not telling us everything he thought would be "good for Quebec". Now we know.

    I did feel that former Premier Couillard and the Liberals were unfairly criticized and subsequently voted out of office "for the sake of change" by the electorate; the great majority of his critics residing outside of Montreal which says everything about how differently people think in those regions. They clearly don't see the Big Picture as Montrealers do and likely never will. We all know that, historically, Quebec's boondock voters are notorious for their lack of astuteness when it comes to elections. I call it "The Hick Effect"; simpletons who fall for election BS too often. Such change for sake of change, as we ought to have learned by now, is not always the wisest direction to take.

    Personally, I liked Couillard's style: he having originally been a doctor and not a politician, and I liked him even when he was part of former Premier Charest's team, hoping that he would someday run for the top job--which he did.

    I think most of us will agree that it was Couillard's hapless if pugnacious Health Minister Gaetan Barrette who cast the darkest cloud over the Liberals message, but in any event, it would not have mattered (nor will it EVER matter) WHO is unfortunate enough to be burdened with the unenviable position of health minister in this province since they will always find themselves in a thankless, no-win situation--a condition which, incidentally, is world-wide. Even a Mother Teresa-type health minister could never hope to please the Quebec electorate.

    As for Couillard's much-maligned determination to focus on financial austerity during his term in office, he has clearly been vindicated after having tactfully gifted Legault and the Quebec coffers with a surplus. Even the CAC's finance minister--in a stunning, unprecedented admission--praised Carlos Leitao, his Liberal predecessor, for a job well done, so we can all disdainfully remember those overpaid union members who rallied noisily in the streets to complain about how the "nasty Liberals" trimmed the fat from their pensions. Biting the bullet from time to time is just a fact of life we must all prepare for and deal with. It never lasts forever, so grin and bear it.

    I wonder if today those disgruntled union workers--and everyone else for that matter--can bring themselves to thank Couillard for that surplus and if they are fearful if it will be wisely spent by Legault's CAC?

    We shall see.

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  3. Regarding all the back-tracks concerning his recent, stupid immigrant and language policy, Mr. Legault and his inexperienced cronies clearly haven't a clue. I never trusted the guy in the first place. Just because he promised no referendum, doesn't mean his hostility to anything English has evaporated. Far from it.

    I could care less what his "hick base" in other regions of the province want and I will be very surprised if the CAC wins the next provincial election.

    More proof that the notion of "change for the sake of change" during elections is hardly a remedy.

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  4. Now we are 2022 Summer , least of three months from October 3rd election. François Legault is a disaster. Housing crisis not solved , Fitzgibbons who proud to subvention accorded to Sonders ARNB instead of normal rents. The law against religious symbols , and division spirit between frenchies & english , language paranoïa. Inept education minister Roberge . Nosense ministers and deputies & COVID-Show , curv-few both times ...
    CAQ with Legault , yark 👎.
    Éric Duhaîme along his Conservatives is the lone alternative ._

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